Ukraine successfully navigated the 2024-2025 heating season, a crucial test, aided by favorable weather, international support, and domestic efforts to restore infrastructure and develop new distributed and decentralized generation capacities. The energy system’s future stability now depends on protecting infrastructure, integrating new capacities, and addressing financial challenges in the sector.

For more than three years, the European Union has been reducing its dependence on Russian fossil fuels, treating this as a key element of its security policy, which at the same time is consistent with its climate policy. Despite the introduction of initiatives such as the RePowerEU plan or the roadmap published in May 2025 to move away from energy imports from Russia, member states are still spending billions of euros on Russian raw materials. In a new report entitled The energy security of the European Union. How to become independent from Russian fuels by the end of 2027? Forum Energii, and independent think tank from Poland supporting the energy transition, and the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), an independent think tank that monitors the impact of the energy sector on the climate, the economy, and public health, show that complete independence of the EU from Russian energy sources is possible. However, it requires concrete action and solidarity compliance with sanctions by all member states.

The European Union needs a new energy security strategy that integrates the energy transition into the current geopolitical landscape and addresses key challenges. The Russian war against Ukraine, political changes in the United States, and significant international tensions serve as important signals for rethinking how to strenghten Europe's resilience to crises. As global dynamics continue to shift, a fresh strategic approach has become essential. Forum Energii, in collaboration with leading European experts, has published a report that outlines a new framework for ensuring a secure, resilient, and sustainable energy future for the EU. The report’s publication coincides with Poland’s Presidency of the EU Council which has set energy security as one of its priorities.

Over the next decades, Europe’s energy generation landscape will change significantly. Achieving climate neutrality means replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy sources within the next 30 years. Biomethane, which can replace the use of natural gas, will be one of the essential assets in this transition. A critical partner with significant potential for supporting biomethane usage in the EU is Ukraine. Despite facing challenges such as war and regulatory hurdles, Ukraine has substantial production capacity—up to 1 bcm by 2030 and as much as 22 bcm by 2050.