For more than three years, the European Union has been reducing its dependence on Russian fossil fuels, treating this as a key element of its security policy, which at the same time is consistent with its climate policy. Despite the introduction of initiatives such as the RePowerEU plan or the roadmap published in May 2025 to move away from energy imports from Russia, member states are still spending billions of euros on Russian raw materials. In a new report entitled The energy security of the European Union. How to become independent from Russian fuels by the end of 2027? Forum Energii, and independent think tank from Poland supporting the energy transition, and the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), an independent think tank that monitors the impact of the energy sector on the climate, the economy, and public health, show that complete independence of the EU from Russian energy sources is possible. However, it requires concrete action and solidarity compliance with sanctions by all member states.

In the first six months of this year, Poland wasted the potential to generate nearly 800 GWh of electricity from renewable energy sources—more than in the entire year of 2024. The growing mismatch between energy consumption and the output of wind and solar power plants is driving up the cost of operating the system month by month. Meanwhile, demand for electricity is increasing during the winter when there is less sunlight and some days are windless. At the same time, costly and depreciated coal units are approaching decommissioning. Two key needs emerge: making the system more flexible, and encouraging investments in new capacity that can operate effectively under the new system. These challenges, along with an analysis of the relationship between capacity adequacy and system flexibility, and recommendations for a reformed capacity market, are addressed in the latest report by Forum Energii, developed in cooperation with Magnus Energy, a pan-European energy transition consultancy, titled Capacity and Flexibility: What Kind of Capacity Market Does a Modern Power System Need?

Poland has just completed its presidential elections, yet strategic decisions regarding the future of the energy sector—including the development of new generation capacities (notably renewables) and the modernisation of district heating—still await resolution. The revision of the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) and a strategy for the heating sector are also still pending. In response to the need for a deeper debate on the direction of Poland’s energy transition, Forum Energii has published a new report entitled The Time for Investment: Insights from Energy System Modelling for Poland 2040.

The European Union needs a new energy security strategy that integrates the energy transition into the current geopolitical landscape and addresses key challenges. The Russian war against Ukraine, political changes in the United States, and significant international tensions serve as important signals for rethinking how to strenghten Europe's resilience to crises. As global dynamics continue to shift, a fresh strategic approach has become essential. Forum Energii, in collaboration with leading European experts, has published a report that outlines a new framework for ensuring a secure, resilient, and sustainable energy future for the EU. The report’s publication coincides with Poland’s Presidency of the EU Council which has set energy security as one of its priorities.

Poland's energy sector is entering a phase of rapid transformation. The installed capacity of renewable energy sources (RES) has surpassed 30 GW, with renewable electricity generation reaching a record 30% in 2024. In the coming years, the role of solar power, onshore wind, and offshore wind is expected to grow rapidly. Improving the conditions for renewable energy development is a critical step toward lowering energy prices in Poland and maintaining industrial competitiveness. The new report by Forum Energii, titled “Polish Grids 2040,” outlines solutions to support further integration of renewable energy sources and energy storage into the power system. 

Over the next decades, Europe’s energy generation landscape will change significantly. Achieving climate neutrality means replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy sources within the next 30 years. Biomethane, which can replace the use of natural gas, will be one of the essential assets in this transition. A critical partner with significant potential for supporting biomethane usage in the EU is Ukraine. Despite facing challenges such as war and regulatory hurdles, Ukraine has substantial production capacity—up to 1 bcm by 2030 and as much as 22 bcm by 2050.  

While industrial emissions reduction is a key focus in Europe’s competitiveness discussions, it is notably absent from Poland’s. This is significant given that industry accounts for 23% of Poland’s GDP, employs one in five workers, and generates a quarter of the country’s emissions and energy consumption. Forum Energii’s reports provide essential insights into Poland’s industrial landscape and available decarbonisation technologies.   

Poland’s energy transition is progressing, and 2023 was a year of real records. Although coal remains the main source of electricity production, its share in the mix fell to an all-time low of 60.5%, down 10 p.p. from a year earlier. Production from RES reached 27% for the first time. At the same time, energy production from natural gas increased, by more than 40%. This is a result of falling fuel prices and the flexibility of gas generation. Wholesale energy prices in Poland compared to other EU countries remain very high, and the economy’s dependence on imported fossil fuels is growing rapidly. In the latest, seventh edition of the “Energy Transition in Poland” report, Forum Energii presents the state of transition play and a broader look at the overall process.

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in Poland's electricity system. Onshore wind farms are expected to become the second source in the electricity production mix this year, overtaking lignite. And as early as 2026, the first terawatt-hours from offshore wind turbines in Poland's Baltic region will be added to the Polish mix. In a new report by Forum Energii, we outline the state of the game: whether offshore will be launched on time, how to improve processes so that investments are made without delays, and how to realize the real potential of offshore wind energy on the Polish coast. 

In October 2023, the European Union adopted a revision of the directive promoting the development of renewable energy, setting new, higher targets for the community. In Forum Enegrii's report "Understanding EU's and Poland's Renewable Energy Goals", we analyze how the EU targets translate into the realities of Poland and other EU countries.